Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championship

Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championship

A detailed look at our Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championsip
Carabao Cup & Champions League Football

Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championship

Poisson Model

The Championship is in full flow and we are already starting to see a surprising amount of consistency in the results our models are returning.

The first model we are going to review is the Poisson Model

Betting Model - Weekend Review - Championship - Poisson Model

Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championship – Poisson Model

The Poisson Probability model is based solely on the numbers of goals that have been scored to calculate the percentage odds of a team winning.  It is a proven model and used by many as a working model, and by others as the basis for a wider ranging model.

Because of this, the early season predictions it creates can fluctuate some what, as a team scoring a lot of goals in one game is likely to effect the averages, however, get a few games in and it can be very accurate, especially in the goals markets.

How did the POISSON Model do?

7 from 12 correct results and about 60% of correct Goal Market predictions.

Teams have now played 2 at home and 2 away so we’ll see an improvement here on in.

Predictor Model

The Championship is in full flow and we are already starting to see a surprising amount of consistency in the results our models are returning.

The first model we are going to review is the Poisson Model

Betting Model - Weekend Review - Championship - Predictor Model

Betting Model – Weekend Review – Championship – Predictor Model

The Predictor model takes in much more data than the Poisson model, looking at Past meetings from the last 5 years, the last 5 home and aways fixtures and allows bonus weighting (positive and negative) for Clean Sheets, Over a certain amount of goals scored during last 5 and key injuries / suspension etc

Because of this, it creates a far more detail probability percentage and that is certainly reflected in the results.

How did the Predictor Model do?

8 from 12 correct results and about 80% of correct Goal Market predictions.

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  • How many Leagues do we cover?

    Last season we covered 12 leagues.

    Premier League, Championship, League One, League Two & Scottish Premier League – from the UK

    La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Premiera Liga (Portugal), Eredivise (Dutch), Juplier League (Belgium)

    This season we will be adding at least 3 more

    Vanarama National League, Turkish Super League & the Greek Super League

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