Weekly Best Bets 16/12/16

Weekly Best Bets

Welcome to our Weekly Best Bets Section.

If you can’t wait, you can access the downloads for our Models and our Best Bets at the bottom of the page. If you want to know more about what we’re doing, read on.

Please make sure you subscribe so you get this page mailed to your inbox the moment we post.

The Science behind our selection

To create our Weekly Best Bets, we analyse 11 Leagues across the UK and Europe, looking at current season form, goals scored & conceded, clean sheets kept, 5 years of historic data, 2 statistical models and more to try and establish trends and ultimately choose the Best pics for you.

Example of our Models and how it works

Example of our Models and how it works

Using our Precise calculations we flag anything we believe to have over a 75% chance of coming in.

Watch our Video of the Best Bets being selected.




This week we have fixtures from:

Premier League, Football League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Premiera Liga, Jupiler League, Scottish Premier League, Eredivisie

We use 2 models to determine our results and both are displayed on the download.




The Predictor Model

The Predictor uses the full wide ranges of statistics mentioned above.

Looking at the Previous 5 Home or Away games and the past meetings from the Last 5 seasons, as well as the calculations provided by our other Model (POISSON)

The Predictor is the model on the left of the sheet and in BLACK text. Anything over 75% in the Home Win or Away section is flagged as one of our selection.

Also, the various goals markets we look at

Over / Under 0.5
Over / Under 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over / Under 3.5
BTTS
HCS – Home Clean Sheet
ACS – Away Clean Sheet

These are flagged in blue.

Weekly Best Bets

Predictor Model on the left – POISSON Model on the right – Biffs Bets – Weekly Best Bets

POISSON Model

The Poisson model is on the right side of the sheet and is in grey.

Poisson is a probability based equation that uses the number of goals scored on average in the division against an individual teams goals scored / conceded to create and Attack Strength and Defensive Weakness score

These scores are entered into the POISSON equation to determine the probability of how many goals each team will score across all the possible results (in our case from 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 through to 7-6, 6-7 & 7-7)

All the possible results are then split into Home Win, Draw and Away Win and multiplied to give a % probability of each result.

Anything above 75% is flagged

Our Top Picks

Heres our Top Home and Away picks for this weekends action

Home Wins

Weekly Best Bets - Home Wins - Poisson Model

Weekly Best Bets – Home Wins – Poisson Model

Downloads

We don’t charge for our downloads, but would really appreciate if you like this page and our Facebook Page or follow us on Twitter

To Download our Detailed Best Bets selection – click here – Detailed Weekly Best Bets

To Download our Summarised Best Bets selection – click here – Weekly Best Bets Summary / Tick List

To Download our League by League Analysis – click here – Weekly Analysis Division by Division

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