La Liga Predictions
La Liga returns for round 25. With the top 3 all winning theres no change at the top. Real & Barcelona are away, Athletico Madrid at home to 4th place Villarreal in the Clash of the weekend.
As well as wins for the top 4 last week, Valencia dug deep, and got boss Gary Neville out of a hole, trailing 1-0 and the sack looming they rallied to win 2-1. The relief must have been immence, and given there performance in Europa League last night, they could have turned a corner
Last weekends results – How did we get on?
We hit 80% of the results correctly last week, and 90% of the goal markets predictions, this certainly helped towards our £250 Accumulator win
More of the same this week we hope.
The Model – How it works
La Liga predictions look at 3 models this week.The first section takes an overall view looking at recent form, past meetings, goals etc. Giving the % possibility of Home Win, Draw, Away Win, as well as looking at the Goal Markets.
The second section is all about Goal probability based upon the POISSON Probability Theory, again the same markets in play.
They 3rd are from another prediction site called Forebet.
The Model – This weeks forecasts – click to expand
Some really tough fixtures to call this week,
Barcelona, Real Madrid to win, & Athletico v Villareal <2.5 goals
Odds of 2.12/1 at Bet365 – Click now to place your bet !!
Real Madrid showing as 84.4% chance of winning with a high chance of a lot of goals, likewise with Sevilla and Barcelona. Over 3.5 goals is a tough one, but we fancy this as a good chance of happening.
Real Madrid have had over 3.5 goals in all of there last 5 games. Averaging 6.6 goals per game.
Sevilla have had over 2.5 goals in 4 of there last 5 games. Averaging 3.4 goals per game.
Barcelona have had over 3.5 goals in 4 of there last 5 games. Averaging 4.8 goals per game
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