German Bundesliga returns for round 21. Can anyone catch Bayern? Has Pep got it wrapped up already before his move to Manchester? It would seem so.
The Model – How it works
Bundesliga predictions look at 3 models this week.The first section takes an overall view looking at recent form, past meetings, goals etc. Giving the % possibility of Home Win, Draw, Away Win, as well as looking at the Goal Markets.
The second section is all about Goal probability based upon the POISSON Probability Theory, again the same markets in play.
They 3rd are from another prediction site called Forebet.
The Model – This weeks forecasts – click to expand
As you can see from the Model above, Borussia Dortmund are flagged up as a “Banker”
Odds of 1/8 at Bet365 – although we don’t feel this is a good enough bet, so we’re going to push the boundaries a little.
Borussia Dortmund & over 3.5 goals
Hertha Berlin & BTTS
Odds of 10.91/1 at Bet365 – Click now to place your bet !!
Dortmund showing as 87.9% chance of winning with a high chance of a lot of goals, Over 3.5 goals is a tough one, but we fancy this as a good chance of happening.
Dortmund have had over 3.5 goals in 4 of there last 5 games. Averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Stuttgart haven’t kept a clean sheet at home in there last 5 games, Hertha have only failed to score in 1 of there last 5 away games, and have only lost once also.
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